TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 3:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks who will win the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alex Michelsen at the National Bank Open. On Polymarket, Daniel Merida Aguilar has a current probability of 100.0%. The result will be determined by official match outcomes listed at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match is scheduled to conclude by August 14, 2026, and any updates to the event timing will be crucial for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alex Michelsen in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes to match conditions such as weather or court surface, and recent form or performance metrics leading up to Aug 14, 2026. Any last-minute updates from official tournament announcements or media reports may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, even small updates can cause noticeable price swings on Polymarket.