TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 6:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Alex de Minaur at the National Bank Open. On Polymarket, Cameron Norrie has a current probability of 100.0%. The result will be determined by official ATP Tour scoring at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match is scheduled to conclude by August 13, 2026, and this date marks the end of the betting period for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Alex de Minaur in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks may set fixed odds based on analyst forecasts, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, incorporating new information faster. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as match conditions or player form shift.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on that verified data. No further interpretation or external judgment is needed beyond the publicly recorded result.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes in tournament conditions like weather or court surface, and recent performance trends leading up to the match. Media commentary, betting patterns, and last-minute coaching decisions may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments could cause rapid adjustments in odds as the event nears.