TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima
limitless
polymarket

Who will win Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima?

Volume:
$1,154,840

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 5:56 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.5

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,121,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.6¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks whether the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima at the National Bank Open will last more or less than 2.5 sets. The aggregated consensus probability for exceeding 2.5 sets stands at 100.0%, drawn from Limitless and Polymarket, and will resolve using official information from the ATP Tour. The outcome will be determined by the match result on August 15, 2026, reflecting who advances and how the match concludes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms have identical resolution logic for determining the winner of the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima, including handling for cancellations, retirements, walkovers, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the ATP Tour, with credible reporting as a consensus backup if ATP data is unavailable

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if he advances against Brandon Nakashima
  • The market resolves to 'Brandon Nakashima' if he advances against Arthur Rinderknech
  • If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, it resolves to 50-50
  • If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, it resolves to the player who advances
  • If the match ends in a walkover, it resolves to 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market will resolve to 50-50.
  • Walkover: If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), the market will resolve to 50-50.
  • Retirement/Default/Disqualification: If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market will resolve to the player who advances.
Timing: Resolution will occur after official confirmation from the ATP Tour or credible reporting sources, typically within 2 hours after the event's conclusion or when the match status is definitively determined.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima in the ATP Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 13:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Rinderknech vs Nakashima match market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each player winning. It tracks volume and recent activity to give you a live snapshot of market sentiment. By monitoring this market, users can see how predictions shift as the match approaches, with updates reflecting new information and betting patterns across venues.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of traders rather than set benchmarks. While sportsbooks may publish a favored line based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets adjust continuously based on real-time trading volume and sentiment. This can lead to tighter spreads or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges.

Injuries, weather delays, or surprising form during warm-ups could shift this market significantly. Key moments like early break points, service struggles, or momentum swings in the first sets often trigger rapid price adjustments. As the match approaches, any last-minute news from coaches or official announcements may also cause volatility, especially if they hint at lineup changes or playing conditions.