Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic based on the official final score from efa.com.eg after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and incomplete matches.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics published on efa.com.eg by the Egyptian Football Association (EFA), with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Over/Under markets resolve YES if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold (1.5=2+, 2.5=3+, 3.5=4+, 4.5=5+), and NO if below threshold.
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: National Bank Egypt -1.5 YES if win by 2+, -2.5 YES if win by 3+; ZED FC -1.5 YES if win by 2+, -2.5 YES if win by 3+.
Both Teams to Score resolves YES if each team scores at least one goal, NO if either team scores zero.
If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
If the game is canceled with no make-up scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
If the game starts but does not complete, resolution uses the official final score published on efa.com.eg.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), the market resolves according to the official final score published on efa.com.eg, not on the score at the time of abandonment.
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; no interim resolution occurs.
Cancellation with No Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between YES and NO outcomes).
Delayed Official Statistics: If efa.com.eg does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score on efa.com.eg after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), or upon consensus reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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