TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many goals are scored in a professional MLS soccer match between Nashville and Toronto. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring or not based on that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both Nashville and Toronto in the professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. The determining factor is whether the combined goals exceed specified thresholds ranging from 0.5 to 5.5. Importantly, the resolution considers only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded from all calculations. Each market has a unique threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals surpass that threshold. These markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders submit bids (buy orders) and asks (sell orders) for contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether over or under a certain number of goals will be scored. The current price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices adjust dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will drive up the price, and increased selling pressure will drive it down. This creates a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal total scored in the Nashville vs Toronto game will be used to determine whether the market settles on the ‘over’ or ‘under’ side. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive record for resolution. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nashville or Toronto would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence traders’ decisions. Any updates that alter the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring or low-scoring game are likely to be reflected in the price of contracts.