TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the performance gap between Nashville and Toronto in their scheduled MLS soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory, determining whether either team secures a decisive lead. Outcomes are based solely on regular-time scoring, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Nashville vs Toronto MLS match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Nashville winning by more than 2.5 goals, Nashville winning by more than 1.5 goals, Toronto winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Toronto winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined exclusively by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point spread of the Nashville versus Toronto game. Specifically, the market will determine whether Nashville wins by more than 1.5 goals, or if Toronto covers the spread. The final score, as reported by official NHL sources, will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries to either Nashville or Toronto would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected starting goalie announcements could also shift the odds, as goaltending performance is crucial in hockey. Major news regarding team strategies or coaching changes could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could move this market as traders react to new information and reassess probabilities.