TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether both Nashville and Montreal score at least one goal each during the first half of their MLS match on July 22, 2026. Only goals scored before halftime count toward this outcome.
If Nashville and Montreal both score a goal in the 1st Half of the Nashville vs Montreal MLS match originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a margin for profit. Prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-time information flow, making them highly responsive to breaking news and shifting sentiment. Many traders use sportsbook odds as a reference point but find prediction markets valuable for identifying mispricings. The two venues can offer complementary perspectives on the same outcome, especially as game time approaches and new data emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's aggregate belief in the probability of both teams scoring in the first half. As new information arrives or trader sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the spread between buy and sell prices indicates the current liquidity and conviction around the outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, after the first half of the Nashville vs Montreal match concludes. The outcome is determined by whether both teams score at least one goal during that period. Once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, the market will settle to yes or no accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Mark your calendar to ensure you manage your position before the resolution window closes.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the first half. Team news—such as injuries to key forwards or defensive players—often triggers sharp price moves. Lineup announcements and weather conditions at the venue can influence scoring expectations. Early first-half action, including goals, near-misses, or red cards, will drive rapid repricing as traders update their probability estimates. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one side can also signal conviction and move the market. Monitor pre-match analysis and live commentary to stay ahead of sentiment changes.