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406,422

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Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC?

Volume:
$1,185,224

Nashville

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 10:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nashville

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$437,733
N/A
N/A
$381,678
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nashville SC

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$241,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

NAS

View
99%
32%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$23,903
$53,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TOR

View
1%
14%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$250
$12,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$293,760
N/A
N/A
$162,473
Settled
No
polymarket

Toronto FC

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
18%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$243
$10,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,951
N/A
N/A
$52,478
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Nashville SC winning their professional MLS soccer game against Toronto FC on September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the aggregated probability of Nashville SC winning is 95.5%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will resolve based on the outcome of the game as defined by whether Toronto wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26, 2026, as the result will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Different resolution rules for game cancellations create a divergence in payout probabilities.Hero tip: The Kalshi markets are more favorable to a payout in the event of cancellation. Consider this when evaluating relative value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the draw market resolves to 'Yes' and the win markets resolve to 'No'. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to 'Yes'."
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, the market resolves to Yes for all outcomes. "If Nashville wins the Nashville vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Nashville SC and Toronto FC.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Nashville vs Toronto professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Nashville or Toronto occurs if that respective team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Nashville SC and Toronto FC.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks primarily rely on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate news and insights that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in. However, both aim to accurately forecast the outcome, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, team form, or coaching changes could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Major tactical adjustments announced by either team could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants on either Polymarket or Kalshi could signal new information and cause prices to react quickly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s probabilities.