TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nashville SC vs. New England Revolution
Volume:
$226,949
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional MLS soccer match between Nashville SC and New England Revolution scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether New England wins, whether Nashville wins, or whether the match ends in a draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how to handle game cancellation with no makeup game. Polymarket explicitly resolves the Draw market to Yes on cancellation, while New England and Nashville markets resolve to No. Kalshi does not address cancellation and only specifies resolution if the game completes within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Hero Tip:
Monitor MLS schedule updates closely. If the game is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket's Draw market becomes a guaranteed Yes payout while its win markets become guaranteed No payouts. Kalshi's cancellation behavior is ambiguous and may require manual intervention. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi support before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation rules. New England Win resolves No on cancellation; Nashville Win resolves No on cancellation; Draw resolves Yes on cancellation. All three measure outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw market).
- Kalshi: Single market structure covering all three outcomes (Tie, Nashville win, New England win) with resolution to Yes if any outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... If Nashville wins... If New England wins... then the market resolves to Yes' with silence on cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.