TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 11:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks the outcome of the second half of an MLS soccer match between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati, scheduled for August 29, 2026. The markets focus exclusively on goals scored during the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time, excluding first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming MLS game between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati, scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nashville SC" if Nashville SC score more goals than FC Cincinnati in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Cincinnati" if FC Cincinnati score more goals than Nashville SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 48 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential Cincinnati or Chicago achieves in the 4th quarter of the designated game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold: for Cincinnati to win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, or for Chicago to win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points during that quarter. Only points scored within the regular 4th quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its own threshold without interaction with others. The game must proceed as scheduled for the markets to be valid; any cancellations or changes nullify them. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league governing the game, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different prices for this market due to variations in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity across the platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more fans of Nashville SC, skewing its odds toward that outcome, while the other could have a more balanced user pool. Differences in volume — $2,290 overall versus $2,290 in the last day — also affect how responsive prices are to new bets, leading to temporary mismatches between Polymarket and Kalshi.