TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final score of the Nashville SC vs CF Montreal MLS soccer match on July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Nashville SC vs CF Montreal professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time periods and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each possible outcome corresponds to a specific final score, with resolution occurring when the match concludes under standard MLS rules. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal by the referee.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders wagering real money on outcomes they believe will occur. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on the likelihood of specific correct scores.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each correct-score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the last executed trade and the current spread between buy and sell orders. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting sentiment—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity around certain scorelines, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading interest.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Nashville SC versus Montreal match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the actual goals scored by each team during regulation time. Resolution occurs after credible public sources confirm the official final score, at which point all shares in the correct scoreline pay out in full, and all other outcomes expire worthless. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or rescheduled.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that affect offensive or defensive capability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and travel fatigue can shift trader expectations about scoring patterns. Weather conditions on match day may influence how many goals are likely. Betting market activity and sharp money flowing into or out of specific scorelines often precedes price moves in this market. Live updates during the match itself—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive significant repricing as traders adjust their positions in real time.