TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 11:04 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Nashville SC and CF Montréal, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nashville SC" if Nashville SC score more goals than CF Montréal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nashville SC and CF Montréal score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal score more goals than Nashville SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Nashville SC and CF Montréal, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nashville SC" if Nashville SC score more goals than CF Montréal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nashville SC and CF Montréal score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal score more goals than Nashville SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates decentralized trader conviction, which can lead to sharper or earlier price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities before kickoff.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trading activity and the current balance of capital in the liquidity pool. As traders place orders, the price adjusts dynamically to reflect shifting expectations about the second half result. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news, team updates, or other catalysts that might influence the match.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score or result recorded at the end of the second half. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing traders to settle positions quickly. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on live match developments, team performance, and any other factors that influence trader expectations.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp repricing. Live match events, including early goals, red cards, or momentum swings during the first half, will influence trader sentiment heading into the second half. Weather conditions, venue factors, and historical head-to-head performance can also drive trading activity. Additionally, any official statements from either club or unexpected developments in the hours before kickoff may cause significant price movement as traders reassess their positions.