TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Sportsbooks typically offer three-way outcomes (win, draw, loss), whereas this market isolates exact scores, creating a more granular pricing mechanism. Prediction markets can sometimes lead sportsbooks in pricing efficiency because traders profit directly from accuracy. However, sportsbooks may adjust faster around major news. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value in this specific matchup.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, depending on the contract structure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any scoreline reflects the collective belief of all traders holding or trading that outcome. As match day nears, new information—team news, injury reports, weather—flows into the market, and traders adjust their positions accordingly. Prices move higher for outcomes gaining support and lower for those losing favor. This continuous repricing ensures that the odds you see represent the current consensus view of the probability distribution across all possible exact scores.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the Nashville SC versus Atlanta United match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with no extra time or penalty shootouts factored in. Resolution occurs after the official final score is confirmed by the league or major sports data providers. Traders holding the correct exact score outcome receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The timing allows for confirmation of the result before settlement is processed.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and tactical changes that affect scoring potential. Weather conditions closer to match day—rain, wind, or extreme heat—can influence how teams approach the game and the likelihood of high or low-scoring outcomes. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any roster changes will shape trader expectations. Betting market movement and sportsbook line shifts often precede prediction market adjustments. Social media sentiment and analyst commentary can also sway trader positioning. As the match date approaches, these signals compound, causing prices for certain exact scores to shift as the market refines its probability estimates.