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NASCAR Toyota / Save Mart 350: Fastest Lap
kalshi

NASCAR Toyota / Save Mart 350: Fastest Lap

Volume:
$10,350

Tyler Reddick

 - Kalshi

Tyler Reddick - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 6:54 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,610
N/A
N/A
$1,560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,541
N/A
N/A
$2,959
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
$1,194
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$892
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$819
N/A
N/A
$816
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
$397
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$299
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
$179
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
$167
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael McDowell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
$119
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
No
kalshi

John H. Nemechek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

The 2026 NASCAR Toyota / Save Mart 350 is a Cup Series race where bettors can predict which driver will record the fastest valid lap time during the main race. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific driver, resolving to Yes if that driver achieves the fastest lap.

Kalshi

Each driver's market resolves to Yes if that driver records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Toyota / Save Mart 350. Resolution is based on final race results posted by NASCAR, not provisional results. Payouts occur after official NASCAR results are published.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the NASCAR fastest lap market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for this prediction market centered on the Toyota / Save Mart 350 event. The interface displays current market pricing, 24-hour trading volume, and outcome probabilities as traders buy and sell shares reflecting their expectations about which driver will record the fastest lap. This live data helps participants monitor shifting sentiment and liquidity as race day approaches.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. Prediction markets frequently incorporate breaking news and sentiment shifts faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines, making them a valuable alternative lens for assessing driver performance expectations in NASCAR events.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to specific outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of active traders, with share prices ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at market rates that continuously incorporate available information.

This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, following the conclusion of the Toyota / Save Mart 350 race. The outcome is determined by identifying which driver officially records the fastest lap during the event, verified against credible public sources including NASCAR's official race results and major sports reporting outlets. Once the fastest lap is confirmed and the race is complete, the market settles and traders' positions are finalized based on the verified result.

Several factors can shift odds in this market before the race concludes. Driver performance in practice sessions and qualifying rounds often influences trader expectations about lap speed potential. Weather forecasts, track conditions, vehicle setup changes, and pit crew adjustments announced closer to race day can all trigger repricing. Additionally, news about driver fitness, mechanical issues, or strategic team decisions may prompt traders to adjust their positions, creating volatility in the odds as new information becomes available.