TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NASCAR Sports Illustrated Resorts 250: Fastest Lap
kalshi

NASCAR Sports Illustrated Resorts 250: Fastest Lap

Volume:
$282

Justin Allgaier

 - Kalshi

Justin Allgaier - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 30, 11:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
No
kalshi

JJ Yeley

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mason Maggio

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Sieg

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Bilicki

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Green

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brennan Poole

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Staropoli

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey Day

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dean Thompson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brent Crews

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Logan Bearden

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Blaine Perkins

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Garrett Smithley

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Ellis

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

William Sawalich

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sammy Smith

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Alfredo

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Gase

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jesse Love

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks whether Austin Hill will record the fastest lap during the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Sports Illustrated Resorts 250 on Kalshi. Austin Hill currently sits at 48.5%, while Carson Kvapil is also at 48.5%. The market resolves based on official race timing data from the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series event. Watch the race on June 14, 2026, when drivers will compete for the fastest valid lap time during the main event.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the NASCAR Sports Illustrated Resorts 250 fastest lap market. It displays the current probability that Mason Maggio will record the fastest lap in the main race, along with 24-hour trading volume and cumulative market activity. Users can monitor how odds shift as race day approaches, review past price history, and observe trader sentiment through volume patterns. This single-venue view provides transparency into how Kalshi participants are pricing the fastest lap outcome.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus on who will record the fastest lap, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and attract action, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs of participants risking capital. For the NASCAR Sports Illustrated Resorts 250 fastest lap outcome, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where public perception diverges. Prediction markets tend to update faster in response to driver news, weather, or qualifying results, making them a dynamic alternative to static sportsbook pricing.

The market resolves on Jun 14, 2026, following the conclusion of the NASCAR Sports Illustrated Resorts 250 main race. The outcome is determined by official race records identifying which driver achieved the single fastest lap time during the event. Resolution depends on final timing data released by NASCAR officials and verified through standard race documentation. Traders should monitor official race communications and timing updates to understand when the fastest lap will be officially confirmed and the market will settle.

Several factors could shift odds for the fastest lap outcome. Qualifying results and practice session times provide direct performance signals about which drivers have the pace to set the fastest lap. Weather forecasts for race day—including temperature, wind, and precipitation—affect track conditions and tire strategy. Mechanical issues, pit crew changes, or driver substitutions announced before the race can alter expectations. Real-time race developments like pit stops, fuel strategy, and tire degradation during the event itself will drive final price movements. News about vehicle setup changes or strategic adjustments by teams can also influence trader positioning in the final hours before the race.