TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
NASCAR Navy 250: Fastest Lap
kalshi

NASCAR Navy 250: Fastest Lap

Volume:
$1,989

Chandler Smith

 - Kalshi

Chandler Smith - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 20, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 10:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chandler Smith

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$351
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kris Wright

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
$720
Settled
No
kalshi

Frankie Muniz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
$720
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Rhodes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Grant Enfinger

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaden Honeycutt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Lee

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reif

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Andres Perez De Lara

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Mosack

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Haley

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tanner Gray

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaz Grala

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jimmie Johnson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jamie McMurray

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dawson Sutton

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mini Tyrrell

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Butcher

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Giovanni Ruggiero

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Garcia

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Landen Lewis

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Eckes

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Layne Riggs

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Kligerman

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brenden Queen

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

The 2026 NASCAR Navy 250 is a NASCAR Truck Series race where drivers compete at high speeds. These markets allow bettors to predict which driver will record the fastest valid lap time during the main race event.

Kalshi

Each driver's market resolves to Yes if that driver records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the NASCAR Truck Series 2026 NASCAR Navy 250. Resolution is based on final race results posted by NASCAR, not provisional results. Payouts will be issued after official NASCAR results are published.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the NASCAR Navy 250 fastest lap market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for which driver will record the fastest lap during the race. The interface displays current market pricing, 24-hour volume activity, and outcome probabilities as traders buy and sell shares. This market reflects collective prediction sentiment on driver performance across the full event window, updated continuously as new information and race conditions emerge.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different audiences and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from trader consensus. This market aggregates real-money bets from participants who believe they have an edge on fastest-lap outcomes. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion differs from professional oddsmakers, though each reflects distinct market dynamics and risk models.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and offers on fastest-lap outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand for each driver's shares, with the spread between buy and sell orders reflecting market uncertainty. As race day approaches and new data emerges—practice sessions, qualifying results, weather forecasts—traders adjust positions, causing prices to shift and converge toward expected probabilities.

This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the NASCAR Navy 250 race concludes and the fastest lap is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by official race records and timing data released by NASCAR or the sanctioning body. Resolution occurs after all results are finalized and confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.

Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Practice and qualifying sessions reveal driver pace and setup effectiveness, influencing fastest-lap expectations. Weather forecasts—rain, wind, temperature changes—affect tire grip and strategy. Mechanical issues, pit-crew performance, and real-time race dynamics during the event itself drive sharp repricing. Driver changes, fuel strategy announcements, and track conditions updates also trigger trader repositioning as new information becomes available.