TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NASCAR MillerTech Battery 250 presented by KOA: Fastest Lap
kalshi

NASCAR MillerTech Battery 250 presented by KOA: Fastest Lap

Volume:
$2,560

Justin Allgaier

 - Kalshi

Justin Allgaier - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 1:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
$292
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Gase

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

Natalie Decker

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Ware

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Sieg

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Harrison Burton

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey Day

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brennan Poole

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicholas Sanchez

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jesse Love

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Leitz

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leland Honeyman

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Jones

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dean Thompson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeb Burton

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sammy Smith

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lavar Scott

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Blaine Perkins

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Emerling

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Alfredo

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Custer

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Sieg

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

The 2026 NASCAR MillerTech Battery 250 presented by KOA Main Event will take place, with drivers competing for the fastest lap time during the race. This event focuses on whether any driver from a curated list records the fastest valid lap time during the main race.

Kalshi

Each driver's market resolves to Yes if that driver records the fastest valid lap time in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR MillerTech Battery 250 presented by KOA. Resolution is based on final race results posted by NASCAR, not provisional results. Payouts occur after official NASCAR results are published.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time prediction market odds for the fastest lap outcome in the NASCAR MillerTech Battery 250 presented by KOA on Kalshi. It displays current implied probabilities for each driver contender, 24-hour volume activity at $584, and historical price movements leading up to the race. The interface lets you monitor how market sentiment shifts as race day approaches, showing which drivers the crowd favors to post the quickest lap time during competition.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced belief rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets aggregate trader conviction directly. For the fastest lap outcome, prediction markets may price drivers differently based on real-time participant analysis of setup, weather, and driver form. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers or the crowd sees greater edge in specific driver selections.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the fastest lap contract is priced as a binary or multi-outcome market reflecting the probability that a specific driver will record the race's fastest lap. Prices move based on trader activity, with each contract reflecting cumulative belief about driver performance, pit strategy, fuel mileage, and track conditions. As race day approaches and new information emerges—practice results, weather forecasts, or lineup changes—the market reprices dynamically to balance supply and demand among participants.

The market resolves at Jun 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official fastest lap time recorded during the NASCAR MillerTech Battery 250 presented by KOA race. The driver who posts the single quickest lap under green-flag conditions wins the fastest lap outcome. Official NASCAR timing and scoring data confirms the winner, and the prediction market settles based on that authoritative result.

Key catalysts include practice session results revealing driver speed and setup effectiveness, weather forecasts affecting track grip and strategy, driver or crew chief changes, mechanical issues or penalties during qualifying, fuel mileage calculations, and pit crew performance trends. Real-time race developments—cautions, tire degradation, fuel strategy calls, and driver aggression—will shift fastest lap odds as the event unfolds. Pre-race media commentary and expert analysis can also influence trader positioning before the green flag drops.