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NASCAR: HyVee Perks 250 Winner
kalshi
polymarket

NASCAR: HyVee Perks 250 Winner

Volume:
$1,177,037

Carson Kvapil

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 8:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91,951
N/A
N/A
$67,689
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Carson Kvapil

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$2,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,497
N/A
N/A
$96,526
Settled
No
polymarket

Justin Allgaier

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124,788
N/A
N/A
$98,107
Settled
No
polymarket

Sheldon Creed

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Sieg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110,200
N/A
N/A
$73,194
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Sieg

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99,241
N/A
N/A
$62,969
Settled
No
polymarket

Ross Chastain

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jesse Love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,457
N/A
N/A
$54,676
Settled
No
polymarket

Jesse Love

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,117
N/A
N/A
$48,203
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Mayer

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Gray

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,132
N/A
N/A
$48,703
Settled
No
polymarket

Taylor Gray

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,385
N/A
N/A
$41,602
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Jones

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,949
N/A
N/A
$38,760
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Hill

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sammy Smith

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,025
N/A
N/A
$38,975
Settled
No
polymarket

Sammy Smith

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,810
N/A
N/A
$35,185
Settled
No
polymarket

Rajah Caruth

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

William Sawalich

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,101
N/A
N/A
$36,116
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Intro

This market tracks whether Will Carson Kvapil will win the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series HyVee Perks 250 race, aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket. The current consensus probability for Will Carson Kvapil winning stands at 99.8 percent, with all platforms set to resolve based on the official NASCAR race results published at nascar.com. The outcome will be determined by the official race results following the event's conclusion. Watch for updates as the race approaches its scheduled date on August 15, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period and the event window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use NASCAR's official race results as the sole resolution source, with consistent treatment of cancellations/rescheduling and post-race adjustmentsPrimary resolution logic: Official NASCAR race results published at nascar.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner is determined by NASCAR's officially published race results
  • Results include any penalties or adjustments applied by NASCAR
  • Victory lane ceremony does not determine outcome
  • Markets resolve based on published results, not real-time declarations
  • If race is canceled or rescheduled >7 days after original date, Polymarket's "Other" market resolves as Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Post-Race Disqualifications: Disqualifications or changes made AFTER official results publication do not affect market resolution
  • Race Cancellation: If canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after original schedule, Polymarket's "Other" market resolves as Yes; all driver markets resolve as No
Timing: Resolution occurs after NASCAR publishes official race results, typically shortly after the race concludesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series HyVee Perks 250, scheduled for Aug 8, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series HyVee Perks 250 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for any individual driver market if that specific driver finishes in first place in the Main Race at the 2026 HyVee Perks 250. All determinations are based exclusively on the final, official race results published by NASCAR after the event concludes. Provisional or intermediate results are not considered for resolution purposes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names referenced belong to their respective owners. Each driver-specific market operates independently, with no cross-market dependencies.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the HyVee Perks 250 winner market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each driver taking the checkered flag. It displays current probabilities, volume of $1,177,037, and 24-hour volume of $1,049,048 across venues, offering a consensus view of market sentiment as the race approaches.

Key signals such as practice session performances, qualifying results, recent driver form, and any last-minute changes to race lineups could shift probabilities in this market. Injuries, weather forecasts, or team strategy announcements may also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations about who will lead the field on race day.