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NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 : Top 5 Finishers
kalshi

Who will finish in the Top 5?

Volume:
$49,824

Chase Briscoe

 - Kalshi

Chase Briscoe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 6:46 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,511
N/A
N/A
$4,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,332
N/A
N/A
$2,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,643
N/A
N/A
$1,082
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
$1,124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,111
N/A
N/A
$889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,269
N/A
N/A
$5,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,986
N/A
N/A
$3,768
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,492
N/A
N/A
$2,955
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,254
N/A
N/A
$2,663
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,871
N/A
N/A
$2,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,834
N/A
N/A
$2,333
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,984
N/A
N/A
$1,493
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,836
N/A
N/A
$1,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,578
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,446
N/A
N/A
$1,446
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,430
N/A
N/A
$1,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,426
N/A
N/A
$1,425
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,402
N/A
N/A
$1,397
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,190
N/A
N/A
$1,190
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,162
N/A
N/A
$1,160
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$783
N/A
N/A
$783
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
$765
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
$645
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suárez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

Riley Herbst

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if each selected driver achieves a top-five finish. The outcome depends solely on the official race results, ensuring transparency and fairness in resolution.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified driver finishes in the top five positions of the 2026 NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400, scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must be officially completed within 48 hours of its scheduled start time for the results to count; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are the sole basis for resolution, with no consideration given to provisional or unofficial data. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 market provides real-time insights into how traders are pricing the probability of different drivers finishing in the top 5. You can view the current odds for each potential finisher, track the price history to see how sentiment has shifted over time, and monitor the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $40,581. The total volume traded on this market is $49,824, indicating the level of interest and activity surrounding this event. This allows for a dynamic view of predictions as the race approaches.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might suggest that prediction market traders have access to, or place greater weight on, different information than sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when a large number of participants contribute to this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver finishing in the top 5. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success for that driver. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, driver performance, and other relevant factors, constantly updating the probabilities reflected in the contract prices.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who officially finish in the top 5 positions will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the final, official race standings as published by NASCAR. Any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized and the market is settled. Traders should monitor official NASCAR communications for updates regarding the race and its results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding driver injuries, changes to the car setup, or unexpected weather conditions leading up to the race could shift the probabilities. Strong performances by drivers in practice or qualifying sessions will likely increase their contract prices. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or mechanical issues could also cause substantial movement. Unexpected upsets or strong showings from less-favored drivers are always possibilities that traders will react to, influencing the prices in this market.