TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 : Top 20 Finishers
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NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 : Top 20 Finishers

Volume:
$33,835

Alex Bowman

 - Kalshi

Alex Bowman - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 6:49 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,243
N/A
N/A
$942
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Suárez

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,050
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$790
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Preece

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$662
N/A
N/A
$485
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
$264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ross Chastain

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$489
N/A
N/A
$456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$457
N/A
N/A
$346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
$428
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$438
N/A
N/A
$438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Cindric

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
$389
Settled
Yes
kalshi

John H. Nemechek

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Erik Jones

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
$135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Byron

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Elliott

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Dillon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,587
N/A
N/A
$2,569
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael McDowell

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,442
N/A
N/A
$2,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,194
N/A
N/A
$2,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Gragson

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,148
N/A
N/A
$1,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,049
N/A
N/A
$2,003
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if each selected driver achieves a top-20 finish based on official results.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified driver finishes in the top 20 positions in the 2026 NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must be officially completed and results posted by NASCAR; provisional results are not considered. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with NASCAR or any governing body, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 finishers tracks the current prices for each driver to finish in the top 20. You’ll see the implied probabilities, reflecting how much traders are betting on each outcome. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $24,591, and the total volume traded to date, which is $33,835. This allows you to gauge market interest and activity surrounding each potential finisher. Real-time price movements and historical data are available to help you analyze trends.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as weather forecasts, practice times, or driver news – the prices here may shift in response, potentially anticipating changes that sportsbooks haven’t yet factored in. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more accurate predictions than traditional betting outlets.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official finishing order of the NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which drivers actually finished within the top 20 positions according to the official race results. Any post-race penalties or disqualifications that affect the final standings will be taken into account to ensure an accurate resolution. The final standings will be sourced from official NASCAR reporting.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather changes at the track could favor certain drivers or teams. Driver injuries or mechanical failures during practice or qualifying would also cause price fluctuations. News regarding team strategy, car setups, or driver performance could also move the market. Finally, any significant updates related to driver health or potential penalties could influence trading activity. Keep an eye on racing news and updates leading up to the race to understand potential catalysts for price movement.