TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 : Podium Finishers
kalshi

Who will finish on the NASCAR podium?

Volume:
$42,367

Denny Hamlin

 - Kalshi

Denny Hamlin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 6:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,999
N/A
N/A
$4,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,685
N/A
N/A
$2,347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Cindric

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
$1,188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,804
N/A
N/A
$4,010
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,098
N/A
N/A
$3,395
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,422
N/A
N/A
$3,352
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,016
N/A
N/A
$2,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,850
N/A
N/A
$2,452
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,809
N/A
N/A
$1,694
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,550
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,699
N/A
N/A
$1,236
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,602
N/A
N/A
$1,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,222
N/A
N/A
$1,105
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
$1,173
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,155
N/A
N/A
$1,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
$1,086
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$974
N/A
N/A
$879
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$965
N/A
N/A
$955
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$701
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

John H. Nemechek

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suárez

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Custer

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Gragson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if any listed driver achieves a top-three finish. The outcome depends solely on the official race results, with no consideration for intermediate standings or partial completions.

Kalshi

Each market assesses whether a specified NASCAR driver finishes in the top three positions during the 2026 NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400, scheduled for September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the driver completes the race and is officially classified among the top three finishers. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves as 'No.' The race must start within 48 hours of its original schedule to maintain market validity; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are the sole basis for resolution, with provisional or unofficial data disregarded. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with NASCAR or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If you find significant differences, it might indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, but remember to consider transaction fees and the risk of price movements.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who finish in the top three positions will determine the winning contracts. The market will settle based on the official finishing order published by NASCAR, and any subsequent official rulings or adjustments made by the governing body. Traders holding contracts for the correct podium finishers will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the race concludes. Driver performance during practice and qualifying sessions will be key indicators, as will any news regarding mechanical issues, weather forecasts, or team strategy changes. Unexpected driver substitutions or late-race incidents could also cause substantial price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps triggered by expert analysis or social media trends, could impact trading activity and move the odds. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities.