TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NASCAR Fleetio 200: Fastest Lap
kalshi

NASCAR Fleetio 200: Fastest Lap

Volume:
$6,875

Carson Kvapil

 - Kalshi

Carson Kvapil - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 1:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

View
100%
98%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$747
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Sieg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

Lavar Scott

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Gase

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

Dawson Cram

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Ellis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$682
N/A
N/A
$682
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
$553
Settled
No
kalshi

Jesse Love

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
$579
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey Day

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

Brent Crews

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Jones

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

William Sawalich

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Dean Thompson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brennan Poole

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Bilicki

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Sieg

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Blaine Perkins

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Staropoli

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeb Burton

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremy Clements

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This market focuses on determining which driver achieves the fastest lap time during the NASCAR Fleetio 200 race. The outcome depends solely on performance metrics recorded during the official race, with specific conditions applied for ties, disqualifications, and race cancellations.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver records the fastest valid lap time in the main race of the 2026 NASCAR Fleetio 200. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. In the event of a tie for the fastest lap among two or more competitors, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied competitors (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions pay one minus the 'Yes' payout. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final official results. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes that determinations are based solely on official NASCAR results, not provisional timings.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the NASCAR fastest lap market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the NASCAR fastest lap market, along with a chart of historical pricing and current 24-hour volume of $2,931. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the race, offering a live barometer of crowd-sourced expectations for speed performance.

On Kalshi, traders in the NASCAR fastest lap market price outcomes based on their expectations of driver performance and track conditions. Sportsbook odds often incorporate broader betting patterns and may reflect different risk assessments. While both prediction markets and sportsbooks attempt to forecast the same event, their odds can diverge due to varying participant bases and methodologies. For this market, comparing the two can reveal insights into where speculative versus traditional betting sentiment lies, though each operates under its own unique framework and participant dynamics.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The fastest lap recorded during the official race will be the decisive factor, and the market will settle accordingly based on publicly available race data and official NASCAR results.

Several factors could influence this market before it resolves on Sep 6, 2026. Key drivers include practice session lap times, driver health updates, weather forecasts affecting track conditions, and strategic decisions by racing teams regarding tire compounds or fuel strategies. Any sudden changes in driver lineups or unexpected track alterations may also shift trader sentiment. As the race approaches, real-time qualifying session results and early race dynamics frequently cause significant movement in betting markets, reflecting new information about who might achieve the fastest lap under competitive pressure.