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NASCAR: Enjoy Illinois 300 Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win NASCAR Enjoy Illinois 300?

Volume:
$2,775,641

Kyle Larson

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$298,029
N/A
N/A
$173,727
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyle Larson

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$375,168
N/A
N/A
$246,123
Settled
No
polymarket

Joey Logano

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$190,221
N/A
N/A
$156,537
Settled
No
polymarket

Christopher Bell

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155,601
N/A
N/A
$136,297
Settled
No
polymarket

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150,761
N/A
N/A
$127,063
Settled
No
polymarket

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$146,943
N/A
N/A
$134,642
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144,882
N/A
N/A
$116,556
Settled
No
polymarket

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139,749
N/A
N/A
$128,254
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Elliott

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$138,575
N/A
N/A
$129,015
Settled
No
polymarket

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136,137
N/A
N/A
$117,967
Settled
No
polymarket

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135,830
N/A
N/A
$111,506
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,706
N/A
N/A
$84,913
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$98,959
N/A
N/A
$88,492
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 78

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Enjoy Illinois 300 race. Currently, the consensus probability of Kyle Larson winning is 99.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official results reported by https://www.nascar.com. Participants are predicting which driver will officially finish in first place. Keep an eye on qualifying results on September 19, 2026, as they may offer insight into each driver’s potential performance in the race the following day.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi creates a market for every possible driver, while Polymarket includes an 'Other' option, representing any driver not explicitly listed. This creates a scope difference.Hero tip: Consider the 'Other' option on Polymarket if you believe a driver not specifically listed on either platform has a reasonable chance of winning, or if you anticipate a race cancellation or rescheduling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket offers markets for individual drivers and includes an 'Other' option, covering any driver not explicitly listed or a race cancellation/rescheduling. Resolution is based on official NASCAR results, with a 7-day rescheduling clause resolving to 'Other'.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi creates a separate Yes/No market for every potential driver. Resolution is based on official NASCAR results, with no explicit 'Other' option or rescheduling clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Enjoy Illinois 300, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Enjoy Illinois 300 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to an individual driver’s potential to win the 2026 Enjoy Illinois 300, scheduled for September 13, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified driver finishes in first place in the official race results posted by NASCAR. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to 'No'. The race must either start within 48 hours of its original time or be canceled; in the latter case, all markets resolve to a fair price. Provisional results are disregarded, and all determinations are based exclusively on NASCAR’s official final results. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.