TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if any listed driver achieves a top-five finish. The outcome depends solely on the official race results declared by NASCAR at the conclusion of the competition.
If Zane Smith finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carson Hocevar finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Reddick finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Buescher finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Gibbs finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Briscoe finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricky Stenhouse finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Jones finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Bilicki finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael McDowell finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Berry finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Van Gisbergen finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christopher Bell finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cody Ware finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brad Keselowski finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Dillon finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny Hamlin finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bubba Wallace finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If John H. Nemechek finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ross Chastain finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Cindric finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joey Logano finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Blaney finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Hill finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If AJ Allmendinger finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Larson finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Zilisch finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Suárez finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Byron finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Dillon finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cole Custer finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Elliott finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Bowman finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Riley Herbst finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todd Gilliland finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Preece finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Noah Gragson finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated wisdom of informed traders rather than set bookmaker probabilities. While sportsbooks may favor high-profile drivers based on recent performance or betting public bias, prediction markets can price in deeper insights such as practice session outcomes, qualifying results, and weather forecasts. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage or better value depending on your view of the race dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the race results are officially verified and reported by credible public sources. The final top five finishers will be compared against the market’s listed outcomes to determine which contracts pay out. Timing depends on when the race concludes and results are declared definitive, typically shortly after the event’s official conclusion.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include practice session performances, qualifying results, weather forecasts, pit-stop strategies, and any last-minute driver changes or penalties. News about track conditions or unexpected incidents can also cause rapid price swings. Traders will watch closely for any developments that affect the competitive balance among the drivers, especially those currently priced near the top of the market.