TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a single race, focusing on whether any specified driver achieves a top-three finish. The outcome depends solely on the official race results declared by NASCAR at the conclusion of the competition.
If Zane Smith finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carson Hocevar finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Reddick finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Buescher finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Gibbs finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Briscoe finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricky Stenhouse finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Jones finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Bilicki finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael McDowell finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Berry finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Van Gisbergen finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christopher Bell finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cody Ware finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brad Keselowski finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Dillon finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny Hamlin finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bubba Wallace finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If John H. Nemechek finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ross Chastain finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Cindric finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joey Logano finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Blaney finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Hill finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If AJ Allmendinger finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Larson finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Zilisch finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Suárez finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Byron finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Dillon finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cole Custer finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Elliott finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Bowman finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Riley Herbst finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todd Gilliland finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Preece finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes. If Noah Gragson finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cook Out 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, traders in the NASCAR Cook Out 400 top 3 finishers market set odds based on their expectations for driver performance and race conditions. These odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, reflecting the unique insights and real-time adjustments of the prediction market community. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public sentiment and historical data, this market allows for more granular, event-specific speculation. The difference can be especially notable for long shots or underdog contenders, where Kalshi users might assign higher or lower probabilities based on recent practice results or qualifying positions.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final top three finishers will be determined by official NASCAR results from the race evening, and these results will be used to settle all positions in the market.
Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 16, 2026. Changes in driver health or team strategy following practice sessions and qualifying may reshape expectations. Weather forecasts indicating rain or other disruptions could also influence odds, as some drivers perform better under such conditions. Additionally, mechanical updates or last-minute crew chief decisions often surface in the weeks leading up to the race, impacting trader sentiment. Finally, betting trends on Kalshi itself can create momentum swings, especially if a previously lower-ranked driver gains sudden popularity or a strong performance in pre-race simulations.