TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NASCAR: Coke Zero Sugar 400 Winner
kalshi
polymarket

NASCAR: Coke Zero Sugar 400 Winner

Volume:
$5,313,343

Ryan Preece

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 11:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$282,323
N/A
N/A
$214,673
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ryan Preece

100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
93.4¢
N/A
$1,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$418,055
N/A
N/A
$349,449
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Blaney

0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$305,769
N/A
N/A
$277,419
Settled
No
polymarket

Joey Logano

0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231,283
N/A
N/A
$211,169
Settled
No
polymarket

Shane Van Gisbergen

0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$228,529
N/A
N/A
$177,815
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Hill

0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$221,441
N/A
N/A
$194,646
Settled
No
polymarket

Carson Hocevar

0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$211,209
N/A
N/A
$179,873
Settled
No
polymarket

William Byron

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$210,779
N/A
N/A
$191,952
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Elliott

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200,769
N/A
N/A
$172,287
Settled
No
polymarket

Zane Smith

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$196,962
N/A
N/A
$185,609
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$163,069
N/A
N/A
$148,380
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Reddick

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
93.6¢
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160,598
N/A
N/A
$154,013
Settled
No
polymarket

Christopher Bell

0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Larson

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159,477
N/A
N/A
$146,717
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Larson

0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 88

Intro

This market tracks who will win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Coke Zero Sugar 400 race. The current aggregated consensus probability for Will Ryan Preece to win stands at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on the official NASCAR website and consensus of credible sports news reporting. Watch for the race results on August 29, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on NASCAR's official race results for the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400, with consistent treatment of disqualifications and post-result changes.Primary resolution logic: Official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and consensus of credible sports news reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves in favor of the driver officially listed in first place in NASCAR's published race results
  • Disqualifications or changes made after publication of official results do not affect resolution
  • If the race is canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 7 days after the original date, Polymarket markets resolve to 'Other'; Kalshi markets remain undefined unless contract terms specify otherwise

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation/Rescheduling: Polymarket markets resolve to 'Other' if the race is canceled or rescheduled beyond 7 days; Kalshi markets follow their individual contract terms which may vary
  • Post-Result Disqualifications: Markets resolve based on the official results as published immediately after the race; any subsequent disqualifications or adjustments do not change the resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs after NASCAR publishes the official race results, typically shortly after the race concludesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Coke Zero Sugar 400, scheduled for Aug 29, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Coke Zero Sugar 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in first place in the Main race at the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026. NASCAR race results will be paid out after the final results are posted by NASCAR, and determinations will not be based on provisional results. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners. Each market is independent, with the 'Yes' outcome triggered only if the named driver secures the win.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400 winner market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different drivers taking the checkered flag. It displays consensus odds, volume of $5,313,343, and 24-hour volume of $4,155,766 across venues, letting you see where the market as a whole stands on contenders.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and information efficiency. While sportsbooks may reflect broader public sentiment and set fixed odds early, prediction markets update continuously based on trader activity, news, and shifting perceptions about driver performance, making implied probabilities sometimes more nuanced or volatile.