TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of multiple NASCAR drivers in a single race, determining if any specified driver achieves a top-five finish. The outcome depends on the official race results, ensuring accuracy and fairness in resolution.
The event resolves to Yes if any of the listed drivers—Ryan Preece, Alex Bowman, Chase Briscoe, Ricky Stenhouse, Ty Gibbs, Connor Zilisch, Christopher Bell, Zane Smith, Noah Gragson, Todd Gilliland, Riley Herbst, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Austin Dillon, Chris Buescher, Corey Heim, Shane Van Gisbergen, Ty Dillon, Michael McDowell, Joey Logano, Gray Gaulding, Erik Jones, Daniel Suárez, John H. Nemechek, Josh Berry, Chase Elliott, William Byron, Joey Gase, Bubba Wallace, Austin Cindric, AJ Allmendinger, Kyle Larson, Austin Hill, Cody Ware, Carson Hocevar, Ross Chastain, Daniel Dye, Casey Mears, Ryan Blaney, Cole Custer, or Tyler Reddick—finishes in the top five positions in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400, scheduled for August 29, 2026. All determinations are based exclusively on final race results posted by NASCAR, with provisional results disregarded to ensure accuracy. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the Governing League, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect detailed trader insights and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set prices based on broader public betting trends and analyst inputs, prediction markets allow participants to react quickly to new data, such as driver performance updates or weather conditions. This can create tighter spreads or different favorites compared to sportsbooks, especially as the race approaches.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The pricing mechanism reflects real-time assessments of each driver’s chances, influenced by factors like recent performance, track history, and current news. Volume of $133,790 provides insight into the level of interest and liquidity supporting these prices.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final top five finishers will be determined by official race results, and the market will close based on those verified placements. Timing aligns closely with the race’s official end, ensuring participants have a clear resolution point.