TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a single race, focusing on whether any of the listed participants achieve a top-three finish. The outcome depends solely on the final race results, ensuring transparency and fairness in resolution.
The event resolves positively if any of the listed drivers—Ryan Preece, Alex Bowman, Chase Briscoe, Ricky Stenhouse, Ty Gibbs, Connor Zilisch, Christopher Bell, Zane Smith, Noah Gragson, Todd Gilliland, Riley Herbst, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Austin Dillon, Chris Buescher, Corey Heim, Shane Van Gisbergen, Ty Dillon, Michael McDowell, Joey Logano, Gray Gaulding, Erik Jones, Daniel Suárez, John H. Nemechek, Josh Berry, Chase Elliott, William Byron, Joey Gase, Bubba Wallace, Austin Cindric, AJ Allmendinger, Kyle Larson, Austin Hill, Cody Ware, Carson Hocevar, Ross Chastain, Daniel Dye, Casey Mears, Ryan Blaney, Cole Custer, or Tyler Reddick—finishes in the top three positions during the main race of the 2026 NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400, scheduled for August 29, 2026. All determinations are based exclusively on final race results officially posted by NASCAR, with provisional results disregarded to ensure accuracy. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about each driver's chance to finish in the top three. Market depth and liquidity, represented by volume of $118,792 and 24-hour volume of $93,661, help determine how stable these prices are and how easily traders can enter or exit positions.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the race results are officially verified and widely reported. The final standings from the NASCAR event will determine which drivers achieved podium positions, and this information will be checked against credible public sources to finalize the market result. Timing depends on official race reporting and confirmation of results.
Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include driver performance in practice and qualifying sessions, changes to race strategies or pit stops, weather conditions on race day, and any last-minute driver changes or penalties. News about car reliability, crew chief adjustments, and track conditions can also influence trader sentiment. As the race approaches, any update that affects a driver's competitiveness may cause rapid movements in market odds.