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NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race: Top 5 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race: Top 5 Finishers

Volume:
$93,768

Ty Gibbs

 - Kalshi

Ty Gibbs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 12:50 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,161
N/A
N/A
$18,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,638
N/A
N/A
$10,677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,464
N/A
N/A
$5,141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,177
N/A
N/A
$3,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,131
N/A
N/A
$2,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,638
N/A
N/A
$11,958
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,848
N/A
N/A
$5,214
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,978
N/A
N/A
$4,291
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,671
N/A
N/A
$2,574
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,451
N/A
N/A
$2,044
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,388
N/A
N/A
$2,286
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,283
N/A
N/A
$2,283
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,065
N/A
N/A
$1,615
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,057
N/A
N/A
$2,048
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,030
N/A
N/A
$1,560
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,603
N/A
N/A
$1,603
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,358
N/A
N/A
$1,355
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,192
N/A
N/A
$1,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,148
N/A
N/A
$953
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,018
N/A
N/A
$1,009
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
$512
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Bilicki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

Ricky Stenhouse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if any listed driver achieves a top-five finish. The outcome depends solely on the official race results, with no consideration for intermediate standings or partial completions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in the top five positions of the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race. A market resolves to Yes only if the driver is officially classified among the top five finishers in the final, published race results. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must start within 48 hours of its original schedule; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are the sole determinant, with provisional or unofficial results disregarded. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR night race finishers tracks the current probabilities of different drivers finishing in the top 5. You’ll see the implied probabilities for each outcome, along with a price history chart showing how those probabilities have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $72,724, and the total market volume, which is $93,768. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities related to the upcoming race.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as practice times, weather forecasts, and driver interviews – the odds in this market will adjust to incorporate this new data. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as the event gets closer and more traders participate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver finishing in the top 5. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular driver, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Bass Pro Shops Night Race are verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who officially finish in the top 5 positions will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the finishing order as recorded by NASCAR’s official timing and scoring system. Any official changes or adjustments made by NASCAR after the race will be reflected in the final resolution of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather changes, such as rain, could alter race strategy and favor different drivers. Any major crashes or mechanical failures during practice or qualifying sessions could also shift the odds. News regarding driver health or team personnel changes could also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from racing experts or changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks could lead to movement in this market as traders adjust their positions.