TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race: Top 20 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race: Top 20 Finishers

Volume:
$27,031

Carson Hocevar

 - Kalshi

Carson Hocevar - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 12:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,548
N/A
N/A
$1,524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Preece

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$532
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
$479
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Cindric

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$416
N/A
N/A
$414
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Noah Gragson

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$279
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Berry

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
$138
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Dillon

100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Byron

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chris Buescher

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Suárez

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ross Chastain

100%
98%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,825
N/A
N/A
$2,343
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Dillon

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,702
N/A
N/A
$2,279
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,987
N/A
N/A
$1,976
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
$1,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
$1,524
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event tracks the performance of individual NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if they finish within the top 20 positions. The outcome depends solely on each driver's race result, with no impact from other external factors or collective team standings.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in the top 20 positions of the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race, held on September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the driver is classified among the top 20 finishers in the official race results posted by NASCAR. A 'No' outcome occurs if the driver retires, is disqualified, or fails to finish the race. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original schedule, markets remain open and resolve based on the final results. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. All determinations rely exclusively on official NASCAR results, with no consideration of provisional standings.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR Top 20 finishers market displays the current prices for each driver to finish in the top 20, along with a price history chart. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $18,443, and the total volume traded to date, which is $27,031. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each driver’s performance at the Bass Pro Shops Night Race.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially focus on publicly available information and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. Over time, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing market participants and information processing.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a driver will finish in the top 20. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a driver is likely to finish well, the price of their contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, providing a real-time assessment of each driver's chances.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the finishing order of all drivers in the race. Any driver finishing within the top 20 will result in a payout for those who held a 'yes' contract for that driver, while those holding a 'no' contract will incur a loss. The official race results serve as the definitive source for determining the winners and losers in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence the prices in this market. Unexpected weather forecasts, changes in driver performance during practice sessions, or even late-race driver substitutions could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. News regarding mechanical issues with a driver’s car, or even strategic announcements from teams, can also impact the market. Furthermore, any major incidents during qualifying rounds will likely lead to price adjustments as traders reassess the probabilities of each driver finishing in the top 20.