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24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

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404,028

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events

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2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race Team Winner
kalshi

Who will win the NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race Team?

Volume:
$3,829

Team Penske

 - Kalshi

Team Penske - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 12:50 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Penske

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,060
N/A
N/A
$847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joe Gibbs Racing

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,728
N/A
N/A
$1,675
Settled
No
kalshi

Spire Motorsports

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Hendrick Motorsports

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
No
kalshi

RFK Racing

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
No
kalshi

Front Row Motorsports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

Garage 66

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
kalshi

23XI Racing

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
No
kalshi

Haas Factory Team

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

Richard Childress Racing

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaulig Racing

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Trackhouse Racing

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hyak Motorsports

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

LEGACY Motor Club

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rick Ware Racing

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wood Brothers

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The outcome depends on whether any driver from a specific NASCAR team claims the top position in a major race. Each team's market resolves based on the final, official results of the event, ensuring accuracy and fairness in determining the winner.

Kalshi

If any driver on the Garage 66 NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Joe Gibbs Racing NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Richard Childress Racing NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the 23XI Racing NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Kaulig Racing NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Hendrick Motorsports NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Spire Motorsports NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Team Penske NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Trackhouse Racing NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Hyak Motorsports NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the LEGACY Motor Club NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the RFK Racing NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Front Row Motorsports NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Rick Ware Racing NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Wood Brothers NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If any driver on the Haas Factory Team NASCAR team finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR Night Race winner tracks the current odds for each potential winning driver, the total volume traded on this market, and a price history chart showing how the odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour volume, which indicates how much trading activity has occurred in the last day. Currently, the volume is $1,954 and the total volume is $3,829. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the NASCAR Night Race winner.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, offering a potentially more informed view of the likely outcome of the NASCAR Night Race. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular driver winning the NASCAR Night Race. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that driver winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose money if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver officially declared the winner of the Bass Pro Shops Night Race by NASCAR will determine the outcome of this market. Resolution will be based on the official results published by NASCAR, and any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized. The platform will verify the results against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the race concludes. Any news regarding driver health, team changes, or car performance during practice and qualifying sessions could shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts predicting rain or other adverse conditions could also impact the market, as different drivers excel in different conditions. Major announcements about sponsorships or technical upgrades could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding a driver's chances could lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market prices.