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NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race: Podium Finishers
kalshi

Who will finish on the NASCAR podium?

Volume:
$69,637

Kyle Larson

 - Kalshi

Kyle Larson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 12:49 AM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,685
N/A
N/A
$11,036
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,048
N/A
N/A
$4,668
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,626
N/A
N/A
$3,224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,985
N/A
N/A
$12,973
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,983
N/A
N/A
$9,866
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,815
N/A
N/A
$7,368
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,019
N/A
N/A
$1,378
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,985
N/A
N/A
$1,985
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,711
N/A
N/A
$1,183
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,709
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,515
N/A
N/A
$1,317
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
$1,040
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$872
N/A
N/A
$865
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$863
N/A
N/A
$863
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$549
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Bilicki

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$257
N/A
N/A
$257
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

Riley Herbst

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if they achieve a top-three finish. The outcome depends solely on each driver's final placement in the main race, with no ties or shared positions considered.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in the top three positions of the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the driver is classified among the first three finishers. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to 'No.' The race must start within 48 hours of its original schedule to remain valid; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are used, with determinations made after final race results are posted. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR podium finishers market tracks the current prices for each driver to finish in the top three, along with the 24-hour trading volume. You can also view the price history to see how the probabilities have shifted over time. Currently, the volume for this market is $69,637 with $45,398 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on who will secure a spot on the podium at the Bass Pro Shops Night Race.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert opinions and public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information surfaces or as public sentiment shifts, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of each driver finishing on the podium.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver finishing in the top three. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the confidence level associated with each potential podium finisher, allowing traders to assess the perceived value of each outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official finishing order of the Bass Pro Shops Night Race will be used to determine which drivers secured the top three positions. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the podium finishers. Any official results or changes announced by NASCAR will be the final determination for this market’s resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather changes, such as rain, could alter race strategy and driver performance. Driver injuries or mechanical failures during practice or qualifying sessions would also be major catalysts. News regarding team changes, engine upgrades, or aerodynamic adjustments could shift the perceived competitiveness of drivers. Additionally, any significant shifts in expert predictions or public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, could influence trading activity and move the prices in this market.