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NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race: Fastest Lap
kalshi

Who will have the fastest lap?

Volume:
$6,422

Kyle Larson

 - Kalshi

Kyle Larson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 12:50 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,743
N/A
N/A
$1,731
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$894
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody Ware

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Custer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Bilicki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Gragson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Riley Herbst

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This market focuses on determining which driver achieves the fastest lap time during a specific NASCAR race. The outcome depends solely on performance metrics recorded during the event, with specific conditions applied if drivers retire or are disqualified.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the named driver records the fastest valid lap time during the main race of the 2026 NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves as No. In the event of a tie for the fastest lap among two or more drivers, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied competitors (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions pay one minus the 'Yes' payout. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. All determinations are based on official NASCAR results, not provisional data.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR fastest lap market tracks the current odds for each driver to record the fastest lap during the Bass Pro Shops Night Race. You can view the price history of each outcome, allowing you to analyze how predictions have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,735, and the total overall volume for this market, which is $6,422. This provides insight into how much activity is happening and which drivers are attracting the most attention from traders.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own research and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader view of potential outcomes and highlight areas where public opinion diverges from expert analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders like you determine the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the probability of each driver achieving the fastest lap. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price for a given driver represents the cost to buy a 'yes' share (predicting they will have the fastest lap) or the revenue you'd receive from selling a 'yes' share. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official race results, specifically identifying the driver who recorded the fastest lap during the Bass Pro Shops Night Race. The official timing data will be used to determine the fastest lap, and the outcome will be verified against credible public sources. The market will settle to 100 for the driver with the fastest lap and 0 for all others.

Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding driver health, car performance during practice or qualifying sessions, or even weather forecasts could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or mechanical changes could also trigger shifts in the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Bass Pro Shops Night Race.