TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

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30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Polymarket:

39%

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Kalshi:

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Nagoya vs Gamba: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Nagoya vs Gamba?

Volume:
$13,360

Nagoya wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 8:31 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,928
N/A
N/A
$4,884
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,791
N/A
N/A
$3,791
Settled
No
kalshi

Gamba wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,878
N/A
N/A
$1,878
Settled
No
kalshi

Gamba wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,763
N/A
N/A
$1,537
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent, measured by specific goal differences. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different margins of victory for both teams in a professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Nagoya winning by more than 2.5 goals, Nagoya winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gamba winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gamba winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the required goal differential; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The event operates independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Nagoya vs Gamba spread market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the potential margin of victory for either side throughout the match. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity, giving users insight into betting sentiment and volume trends as the game approaches. With a total volume of $13,360 and 24-hour volume of $12,423, it captures the collective outlook of participants on Kalshi for this market.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi for this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and liquidity conditions. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on trader sentiment and volume. Comparing the two provides a view into whether the crowd sees value differently than established sportsbooks, especially as match-day approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine which side of the spread is correct, and the market will close based on official match results reported through standard public channels.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent performance trends could shift this market as the match nears. Traders will react to practice reports, media commentary, and any last-minute lineup announcements. Weather conditions or tactical adjustments on game day may also influence expectations for the spread, causing rapid price movements among participants on Kalshi.