TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bad Bunny's song NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA will exceed 46.9 million streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week, with the market settling by June 1, 2026. Watch the final streaming counts released for the May 22–28 tracking period to see if the song surpasses the 46.9 million threshold.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the market is priced as a binary contract: traders buy or sell shares based on whether NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA will achieve above 46,911,733 streams on Luminate from May 22–28. The current odds reflect the probability traders assign to this outcome. Share prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with the spread between bid and ask prices showing real-time liquidity and conviction around the streaming threshold.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether official Luminate streaming data for NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA during the May 22–28 window confirms streams above or below the 46,911,733 threshold. The outcome is binary: either the track exceeds the target and resolves affirmatively, or it does not and resolves negatively. Traders should monitor streaming platforms and official announcements as the tracking period concludes.
Key catalysts include Bad Bunny's promotional activity, playlist placements on major streaming services, social media virality, and any surprise releases or collaborations. Chart performance and radio spins can drive listener engagement. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports during the May 22–28 window may shift trader expectations. Additionally, broader music industry trends, competing releases, and fan engagement metrics will influence whether the track reaches the 46,911,733 stream target on Luminate.