TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA streams up this week?
kalshi

NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA streams up this week?

Volume:
$0

Target Streams: 46,911,733

 - Kalshi

Target Streams: 46,911,733 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 4:52 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Target Streams: 46,911,733

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bad Bunny's song NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA will exceed 46.9 million streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week, with the market settling by June 1, 2026. Watch the final streaming counts released for the May 22–28 tracking period to see if the song surpasses the 46.9 million threshold.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders actively betting on Bad Bunny's streaming performance. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on historical data and subjective estimates, market prices incorporate live information and trader conviction. Comparing the current market odds to music industry streaming projections or social media momentum can reveal whether traders are pricing in expectations above or below expert predictions for this specific tracking period.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the market is priced as a binary contract: traders buy or sell shares based on whether NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA will achieve above 46,911,733 streams on Luminate from May 22–28. The current odds reflect the probability traders assign to this outcome. Share prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with the spread between bid and ask prices showing real-time liquidity and conviction around the streaming threshold.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether official Luminate streaming data for NADIE SABE LO QUE VA A PASAR MANANA during the May 22–28 window confirms streams above or below the 46,911,733 threshold. The outcome is binary: either the track exceeds the target and resolves affirmatively, or it does not and resolves negatively. Traders should monitor streaming platforms and official announcements as the tracking period concludes.

Key catalysts include Bad Bunny's promotional activity, playlist placements on major streaming services, social media virality, and any surprise releases or collaborations. Chart performance and radio spins can drive listener engagement. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports during the May 22–28 window may shift trader expectations. Additionally, broader music industry trends, competing releases, and fan engagement metrics will influence whether the track reaches the 46,911,733 stream target on Luminate.