TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the second set of a specific tennis match between Nadia Podoroska and Simona Waltert at the 2026 US Open. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the players during that particular set, with clear conditions for handling match disruptions.
If Nadia Podoroska wins set 2 in the Nadia Podoroska vs Simona Waltert professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Simona Waltert wins set 2 in the Nadia Podoroska vs Simona Waltert professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of each outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants, with the market’s implied probability adjusting continuously based on trading volume and order flow. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures a range of perspectives from active participants.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two will be determined by the official match result, and the market will close accordingly. Traders should stay alert for any last-minute updates that could affect the final result.
Injuries, weather delays, or strategic shifts by either player could sway this market as the match unfolds. Key moments such as breakpoints, service changes, or momentum swings may cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Additionally, any emerging news about player form or external conditions has the potential to influence odds in the closing stages before resolution.