TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Nacional and Alverca. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity.
The market resolves based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Nacional vs Alverca professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each sub-market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be highly accurate, sometimes even more so than traditional forecasting methods. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can serve as a useful benchmark when evaluating the potential value in this market. It’s important to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Nacional vs Alverca match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The goal is to express your belief about the likely number of goals scored by trading contracts at prices that you believe are advantageous.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Nacional vs Alverca match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will settle at 100, while those representing incorrect outcomes will settle to zero. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Nacional or Alverca would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also shift expectations, potentially favoring a lower-scoring game. Furthermore, the performance of these teams in their preceding matches, as well as any tactical adjustments they might make, could all contribute to changes in the market. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential opportunities and refine your predictions for this market.