TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
Volume:
$519,965
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Eredivisie soccer match between NAC Breda and Feyenoord Rotterdam scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping but structurally different resolution frameworks covering the three possible outcomes: Breda win, draw, or Feyenoord win, evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: all three mutually exclusive outcomes are mapped to YES, making simultaneous YES resolutions impossible. Polymarket uses logically sound separate binary markets with outcome-specific resolutions and asymmetric cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group—they contain a fundamental logical error that makes them unresolvable. Trade only on Polymarket, which has three separate, logically consistent binary markets. Verify with Kalshi support whether this is a template error or intentional catch-all logic before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Catch-all YES resolution for all outcomes. All three markets (Breda win, Tie, Feyenoord win) resolve to YES regardless of result. Quote: 'If Breda wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Feyenoord wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible since exactly one outcome occurs.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with outcome-specific resolutions. Draw market resolves YES if draw, NO otherwise. Feyenoord market resolves YES if Feyenoord wins, NO otherwise. Breda market resolves YES if Breda wins, NO otherwise. Cancellation without makeup: Draw→YES, both wins→NO. Postponement: markets remain open. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) or 'No' (Win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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