TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
My World 2.0 will be tracked for worldwide streaming activity during the week of July 10-16. The market evaluates whether the album achieves a specific streaming threshold during this tracking period.
If My World 2.0 has above 47,343,876 Worldwide Streams during the July 10 - July 16, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information from entertainment industry observers, journalists, and fans. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on expert opinion and limited data sources, this market incorporates continuous updates as new details surface. Traders who spot discrepancies between market pricing and credible reporting can profit by trading, which naturally pulls odds toward accuracy. Over time, prediction markets often outperform single-source analyst predictions because they harness collective intelligence and financial incentives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and offers in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the spread between the highest buy order and lowest sell order at any moment. As new information arrives—official announcements, leaked release schedules, or platform confirmations—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This mechanism ensures the market price continuously incorporates the latest available evidence.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome will be determined based on whether the streaming release occurred during the specified timeframe. Resolution is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, including official announcements from the streaming platform, verified media coverage, or direct evidence of availability. Traders should monitor official channels and reputable entertainment news sources as the deadline approaches to anticipate how the market will settle.
Official announcements from the streaming platform or the content creator would be the strongest catalyst, immediately repricing the market based on confirmed release dates. Leaked schedules, industry insider reports, or social media hints from verified accounts can also shift trader sentiment. Delays or postponements announced by the platform would likely lower odds, while countdown posts or pre-release marketing campaigns could raise them. Proximity to the Jul 20, 2026 deadline itself creates urgency; as resolution nears without confirmation, market pricing typically reflects declining probability.