TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 2:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks worldwide streaming performance for Justin Bieber's album My World 2.0 during the week of June 12-18. Resolution is based on whether the album exceeds a specific streaming threshold during that tracking period, with data published within approximately 48 hours after the week ends.
If My World 2.0 has above 58,193,779 Worldwide Streams during the June 12 - June 18, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate crowdsourced information and financial incentives for accuracy. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio statements or industry reporting, this market aggregates the collective judgment of traders who have skin in the game. Comparing the implied probability here to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees risk or opportunity that mainstream forecasters may have underweighted or overlooked.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks on the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves as new orders arrive. Traders can enter limit orders to wait for their target price or execute market orders immediately, and the spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and disagreement about the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the streaming release event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the anticipated release occurs within the specified timeframe and meets the market's outcome criteria. Traders should monitor official announcements and entertainment news sources leading up to the deadline to assess the likelihood of resolution in either direction.
Key catalysts include official studio announcements about release dates, platform partnerships or delays, social media momentum from the artist or fanbase, and competing entertainment releases that might affect timing. Industry news about streaming strategy shifts, production updates, or marketing campaigns can shift trader expectations significantly. Additionally, any public statements from the relevant parties about postponement, cancellation, or confirmed launch windows will likely trigger sharp price movement as traders reassess the probability of resolution before the deadline.