TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 49,497,914
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 49,497,914 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 2:32 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
My Everything is an album or music project whose streaming performance will be tracked during the June 26 - July 02 week. The prediction concerns whether it will accumulate more than 49,497,914 worldwide streams during this specific tracking period.
Kalshi
If My Everything has above 49,497,914 Worldwide Streams during the June 26 - July 02, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money incentives, meaning traders who forecast incorrectly face financial consequences. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often lack direct accountability. On this market, the current implied probability represents aggregated trader conviction rather than a single expert opinion. Comparing these odds to published entertainment industry forecasts or media reports can reveal where professional analysts and market participants diverge on the likelihood of the streaming release happening this week.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share settles to either $1 or $0 depending on the final outcome, so the current price directly reflects the implied probability. Traders can enter limit or market orders to adjust their positions, and the spread between bid and ask prices shows the tightness of current market consensus around whether the streaming release will occur this week.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed based on verifiable public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the streaming release occurs within the specified week. Once the event window closes, the outcome is determined and verified against credible public sources, allowing all shares to settle to their final value and traders to realize their profits or losses.
Key catalysts include official announcements from the streaming platform or content creators confirming or delaying the release date, media reports about production status, and social media activity from fans or industry insiders. Unexpected delays, technical issues, or competing releases could shift trader sentiment downward, while confirmed launch confirmations or promotional campaigns would likely push odds higher. Monitoring entertainment news outlets and official channels will help you anticipate market-moving developments before they're fully priced in.
