TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mushuc Runa SC vs. Leones Futbol Club
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mushuc Runa SC vs. Leones Futbol Club?

Volume:
$518,048

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 10:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$123,507
N/A
N/A
$70,295
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Mushuc Runa SC vs. Leones Futbol Club)

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leones

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$185,347
N/A
N/A
$110,323
Settled
No
kalshi

Mushuc Runa

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$171,137
N/A
N/A
$95,046
Settled
No
polymarket

Mushuc Runa SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Leones Futbol Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the probability of a draw in the Mushuc Runa SC versus Leones Futbol Club soccer match. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% probability of a draw. This prediction market resolves based on whether the Ecuador LigaPro game, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026, ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the game outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 7, 2026, as the result will determine resolution by the resolution_date_estimate of September 8, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket resolves the draw market to 'Yes' on cancellation, while Kalshi's logic is silent on cancellation.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading the draw market. Polymarket offers a more favorable outcome in that scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game ends in a draw, the market resolves to "Yes". If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Kalshi: If Tie is the result of the Mushuc Runa vs Leones professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game, scheduled for Monday, September 7, 2026 between Mushuc Runa SC and Leones Futbol Club.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mushuc Runa vs Leones professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for September 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Mushuc Runa win, Leones win, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Ecuadorian soccer match between Mushuc Runa SC and Leones Futbol Club. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $518,048, with $506,264 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of each team winning. The dashboard provides a unified view of probabilities, showing how opinions converge—or diverge—across these prediction markets. We're tracking the overall sentiment regarding this match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets are driven by traders directly forecasting the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or disagreement. While sportsbooks may incorporate subjective factors, this market relies on the collective judgment of participants, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the probability of each team winning the Ecuadorian soccer match.