TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Murray State Racers vs. UIC Flames (W)
Volume:
$58,315
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Murray State Racers and UIC Flames scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is tautological and unresolvable. Both Murray St. winning and UIC winning are specified to resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market until the resolution logic is corrected. The market cannot be settled fairly because both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution value. Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure is the only sound version available.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Murray State win resolves to Murray State Racers; UIC win resolves to UIC Flames. Postponements keep market open; cancellations with no makeup resolve 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Defective tautological logic: Both Murray St. winning and UIC winning are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes, making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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