TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Murray State Racers vs. Illinois State Redbirds (W)
Volume:
$95,227
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Murray State Racers and Illinois State Redbirds scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Murray State win and Illinois State win) are mapped to the identical resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot differentiate between the two teams. Polymarket is the only platform with valid, resolvable logic for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Murray State victory resolves to Murray State Racers; Illinois State victory resolves to Illinois State Redbirds. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically impossible condition: both Murray St. win and Illinois St. win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will resolve identically regardless of which team wins the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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