TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point spread outcome between Murray State and Middle Tennessee in their upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different threshold by which Middle Tennessee must win for the contract to settle positively, with one market reflecting Murray State's potential upset win.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Murray St. vs Middle Tennessee college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. For markets where Middle Tennessee must win by a specified margin, the contract settles 'Yes' only if Middle Tennessee's victory exceeds that exact threshold. One market instead resolves 'Yes' if Murray State wins by more than 1.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting an unbiased assessment of outcomes given available information.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets rely purely on trader sentiment and real-time data flows. This can lead to tighter spreads or unexpected shifts, especially as new game-specific information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on the final score of the game and whether it meets the spread conditions set in the market rules. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the official game result and its alignment with the spread parameters.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance shifts can all impact this market. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and any last-minute lineup changes may also affect trader sentiment. As the game draws closer, updated polling data, expert analysis, and betting trends will continue to influence the odds on Kalshi.