TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Munster and Karlsruhe, focusing on the margin of victory during regulation time. It considers different thresholds for wins by either team, without accounting for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates whether either Munster or Karlsruhe achieves a victory margin exceeding specified goal differences in the DFB Pokal match scheduled for August 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Munster winning by more than 2.5 goals, Munster winning by more than 1.5 goals, Karlsruhe winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Karlsruhe winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely within regulation time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. The event explicitly states that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading, allowing for more granular insights than standard point spreads. While sportsbooks may offer fixed odds set by analysts, this market captures crowd-sourced forecasts that can shift rapidly with new information or betting patterns. The difference provides a unique perspective on how likely participants view the outcome, often revealing nuances not captured by conventional betting lines.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined solely by the final regulation-time score difference between the two teams, without accounting for overtime or other post-regulation factors.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 21, 2026. Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or weather conditions affecting gameplay may shift trader expectations. Additionally, strong performances in preceding matches or media reports influencing public perception can cause fluctuations. As the event approaches, any last-minute updates regarding team lineups or venue conditions might also move this market, reflecting new probabilities based on the latest available intelligence.