TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 10M
- Kalshi
Above 10M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 18, 2026
Time left: 03d:09h:20m
Will Mud by Remi Wolf have above 10000000 streams during the October 9, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week?
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Description
The track "Mud" by Remi Wolf will be assessed for its streaming performance in the U.S. during the first week of October 2026. The resolution depends on achieving certain streaming heights as recorded by Luminate’s API.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on U.S. streaming data for the song "Mud" by Remi Wolf during the tracking week of October 09, 2026, to October 15, 2026. Luminate’s API will report the official stream count at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Each market has a specific streaming threshold (ranging from 50K to 10M streams); if the reported streams meet or exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Luminate Data, LLC acts as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional analyst reports, potentially incorporating information not readily available to those sources. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions or interpretations of available data. If analysts predict a certain streaming outcome, but this market shows a different probability, it suggests the crowd disagrees with that assessment, potentially indicating a hidden factor or a contrarian view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time estimate of expectations for the Mud streaming service's first week performance, driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official streaming numbers for Mud’s first week are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of streams achieved during that initial period. The specific criteria for determining the winning outcome are defined by the market’s rules on Kalshi, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified results.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding pre-launch marketing campaigns, critical reviews, or competitor announcements could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected technical issues or positive user feedback during the first days of streaming would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, any announcements about partnerships or content additions to Mud could shift expectations. Monitoring social media trends and industry analysis will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Oct 18, 2026.
