TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 6:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Learner Tien at the Mubadala Citi DC Open on Polymarket, with Adrian Mannarino currently at 100.0%. The result will be determined by official ATP Tour scoring at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match is scheduled to conclude by August 3, 2026, and any updates to the event timing will be crucial for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Learner Tien in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader sentiment and the ability to reflect real-time information and crowd insights. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and betting volumes, this market allows for more granular, community-driven adjustments that can shift rapidly with new data or performance updates.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting pool where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting dynamically with each trade. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices can shift rapidly based on new information, such as player injuries or weather updates, as well as overall trading volume and momentum on the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then matched against the market’s defined conditions to close all positions.
Injuries, withdrawals, or last-minute changes to the lineup could dramatically shift this market as the event nears. Media coverage, betting trends on Polymarket, and analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 3, 2026 approaches, any news affecting either player’s form or readiness will likely cause rapid price adjustments, especially with limited time for the market to fully digest new information.