TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
MTV Video Music Awards: Best Editing
kalshi

MTV Video Music Awards: Best Editing

Volume:
$82,730

Sabrina Carpenter

 - Kalshi

Sabrina Carpenter - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 11:26 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sabrina Carpenter

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,600
N/A
N/A
$7,310
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Madonna

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,871
N/A
N/A
$12,372
Settled
No
kalshi

Ariana Grande

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,990
N/A
N/A
$8,232
Settled
No
kalshi

LISA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,629
N/A
N/A
$7,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Swift

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,408
N/A
N/A
$6,431
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,158
N/A
N/A
$4,212
Settled
No
kalshi

Bruno Mars

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,075
N/A
N/A
$5,564
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

The MTV Video Music Awards recognize artistic and technical excellence in music videos, with categories highlighting various aspects of production, including editing. This event focuses on predicting which artist will be honored for the best editing in their video for the 2026 ceremony. Winners are chosen by a combination of industry professionals and fan voting.

Kalshi

If Ariana Grande wins Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bruno Mars wins Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If LISA wins Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Madonna wins Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sabrina Carpenter wins Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Swift wins Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official MTV VMA announcement for Best Editing, closing the market immediately after the ceremony concludes and winners are declared.

Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute endorsements, controversy or scandal involving nominees, and early voting trends reported in the media. As the ceremony approaches, social media buzz, press coverage, and insider leaks may also sway trader sentiment. Any dramatic change in public opinion or unexpected performance reactions could cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will watch analyst updates and real-time fan engagement to anticipate moves in this market’s odds before it settles.