TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 12,763,386
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 12,763,386 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Kendrick Lamar's album Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers will exceed 12,763,386 streams during the May 22–28 tracking week, as measured by Luminate. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 47.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week, with results expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the album's streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking period to gauge whether it clears the threshold.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary contract: Will Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers exceed 12,763,386 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the probability traders assign to this outcome. Pricing incorporates Kendrick Lamar's streaming momentum, playlist placement, promotional activity, and competitive releases during that week. As the tracking window approaches, prices typically tighten as uncertainty resolves and actual streaming data becomes clearer.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers during the May 22–28 window. The outcome hinges on whether the album's total streams during that seven-day period exceed the 12,763,386 threshold. Luminate data serves as the authoritative source, capturing streams across all major platforms and regions included in their tracking methodology.
Key catalysts include Kendrick Lamar's promotional activity, playlist placements on Spotify and Apple Music, music video releases, social media momentum, and competing album releases during May 22–28. Chart performance, radio play, and fan engagement metrics can signal streaming trajectory. Additionally, any major news about the artist or unexpected cultural moments may drive listener interest. Real-time streaming data leaks or early reports from industry trackers could also shift market odds as the tracking window unfolds.
